## What did you expect? Some notes on the Expectation operator.

**Introduction**

A significant amount of focus in statistics is on making inference about the averages or means of phenomena. For example, we might be interested in the average number of goals scored per game by a football team, or the average global temperature or the average cost of a house in a particular area.

The two types of averages that we usually focus on are the sample mean from a set of data and the expectation that comes from a probability distribution. For example if three men weigh 70kg, 80kg, and 90kg respectively then the sample mean of their weight is . Alternatively, we might say that the arrival times of trains are exponentially distributed with parameter we can use the properties of the exponential distribution to find the mean (or expectation). In this case the mean is .

It is this second kind of mean (which we will call the expectation from now on), along with the generalisation of taking the expectation of *functions *of random variables that we will focus on.…